Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.420118 1.771061 2.241122 2.944723 4.027400 5.745900 8.986609
2025-08-10 0.993052 1.362913 1.943436 3.017257 5.253540 10.845726 34.932196
2025-08-17 0.798980 1.165676 1.805900 3.193634 6.965720 22.947769 581.767857
2025-08-24 0.663441 1.005540 1.645336 3.194565 8.405325 47.627948 NaN
2025-08-31 0.560512 0.870122 1.475326 3.055115 9.294022 95.098871 NaN
2025-09-07 0.506706 0.808973 1.431879 3.218649 12.051270 531.235372 NaN
2025-09-14 0.456080 0.742275 1.354224 3.234945 14.414857 84575.586184 NaN
2025-09-21 0.409709 0.675216 1.256936 3.131047 15.920466 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.374297 0.624364 1.185434 3.080429 18.104682 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.360943 0.616298 1.216521 3.448762 28.607547 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.342688 0.594738 1.207112 3.654179 41.494719 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.320196 0.560736 1.156068 3.635954 51.036503 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.295761 0.520221 1.080809 3.464806 54.615559 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.280931 0.499622 1.058495 3.566083 79.041135 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.270306 0.487181 1.057188 3.794173 145.400411 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.256179 0.464942 1.021789 3.795733 212.679527 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.240250 0.436910 0.963730 3.616667 230.260940 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.232627 0.427729 0.962871 3.826851 617.732146 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.222590 0.411727 0.937267 3.847870 1393.468281 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.211186 0.391433 0.894504 3.714103 1962.250761 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.201735 0.375156 0.862686 3.649127 4387.937478 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.199927 0.377411 0.893089 4.124834 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.195294 0.372152 0.896900 4.393001 NaN NaN NaN